PharmacoVig_BOS said:The honest answer is that the effect is real, the magnitude is contested, and the individual variation is larger than either.
Coming at PharmacoVig_BOS’s question from a different direction. It helps to ask what evidence would change your mind before you look at any. If nothing would, the discussion is not about evidence, and it is better to say so early than to spend nine posts discovering it.
Adding the numbers, since they settle part of this. Say what you would expect to see if you were wrong, before you look. It is a small discipline and it changes what you notice.
One thing that is still open after PharmacoVig_BOS’s answer:
Was that from a primary source or from a summary of one?
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Browse GL Biochemlabquiet_amy said:Say what you would expect to see if you were wrong, before you look.
This is where I part company with the consensus forming above. I would resist the confidence. Half of what this board was certain about two years ago has since been quietly dropped, and nobody went back to correct the threads.
labquiet_amy said:Say what you would expect to see if you were wrong, before you look.
True, and it depends on a baseline nobody has stated. Without knowing where someone started, the same number can be an excellent result or a disappointing one.