Dec 18, 2025 at 11:36 PM#11
roxy_nash said:It is worth asking what the claim would look like if it were false.
Right, and the exception is worth naming rather than left implied, because the exception is where people get into trouble.
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Dec 19, 2025 at 1:56 AM#12
DanielChem_CHI said:Agreed, with a caveat about community reputation: it is a lagging indicator.
Thank you for spelling out the reasoning rather than just the conclusion. Sending this to two other people who asked me the same thing last week.
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Dec 19, 2025 at 4:16 AM#13
roxy_nash said:It is worth asking what the claim would look like if it were false.
Worth saying that the confident version of this is more useful to the person writing it than to the person reading it.
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PeptideDetective — Independent Peptide Analytics
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View ResultsDec 19, 2025 at 6:36 AM#14
Adding the numbers, since they settle part of this. Give anything pharmacological four weeks before you judge it, and give anything measured weekly a four-point rolling average before you call it a trend.
Last edited: Dec 19, 2025 at 9:36 AM
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