sarah_TO said:It helps to ask what evidence would change your mind before you look at any.
That is right, and it stops being right at the edges. The general case is well behaved; the interesting cases in this thread are all at the boundary where the general case breaks.
VanRx_Mike said:Agreed, with the usual condition: that holds for the average and this board is a collection of individuals.
This answered a question I did not know how to ask. Printing the relevant bit and taking it with me.
sarah_TO said:It helps to ask what evidence would change your mind before you look at any.
This is where I part company with the consensus forming above. I would resist the confidence. Half of what this board was certain about two years ago has since been quietly dropped, and nobody went back to correct the threads.
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View ResultsThe figures, for anyone assembling their own picture. One habit that pays for itself: post the method alongside the number. A figure without its method cannot be checked, and an unchecked figure is how this community accumulates folklore.
Correct me if the detail matters more than I have assumed.
Moderator note: reminder that nothing in this thread is medical advice, and that clinical claims need a source. No action needed from anybody.