Dr.DermMIA said:The honest answer is that the effect is real, the magnitude is contested, and the individual variation is larger than either.
That holds where the measurement is reliable. Where it is noisy — and a lot of what gets tracked here is noisy — the same reasoning produces confident nonsense.
VanRx_Mike said:Agreed, and one caution: a single measurement is not a measurement.
This answered a question I did not know how to ask. Printing the relevant bit and taking it with me.
Dr.DermMIA said:The honest answer is that the effect is real, the magnitude is contested, and the individual variation is larger than either.
I read this differently from Dr.DermMIA, on substance rather than tone. Pushing back on the anecdote-stacking. Twenty people reporting the same thing is twenty samples from the same self-selected pool, not twenty independent confirmations.
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View ResultsThe figures, for anyone assembling their own picture. Say what you would expect to see if you were wrong, before you look. It is a small discipline and it changes what you notice.
I would rather be corrected than agreed with, if it comes to it.
Moderator note: good thread. Keeping it here rather than moving it, because the question is general enough to be useful. Thread quality here is what the rules are for. Keep it up.